Conference Day Two - Thursday 18 September


8:30      Welcome coffee


8:50      Opening address from the Chair

Robert Pritchard, Executive Director, Energy Policy Institute of Australia


GAS SECURITY FOR EAST COAST DOMESTIC MARKETS – OPPORTUNITIES & THREATS


09:00      The outlook for gas in Eastern Australia – opportunities and challenges

  • How changing demand/supply dynamics are impacting domestic markets
  • Overviewing the challenges for domestic markets as Queensland LNG trains ramp up
  • Identifying opportunities to minimise anticipated supply constraints and price spikes

David Byers, Chief Executive, Australia Petroleum Production & Exploration Association


09:30      Changing dynamics for the eastern Australian gas market as an LNG exporter

  • The eastern gas market’s role in the Asia Pacific LNG market
  • How is the eastern gas market adjusting to becoming an LNG exporter?
  • Challenges for the eastern gas market arising from LNG exports

Wayne Calder, Deputy Executive Director, Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics


10:00      How NSW is responding to its gas price and supply challenges

  • Will NSW experience gas ‘load shedding’ mid-decade?
  • What impact will additional NSW supply have on the NSW gas market?
  • Outlining the key policies that are in place to ensure NSW consumers receive consistent supply

Kylie Hargreaves, Deputy Secretary- Resources and Energy, NSW Department of Trade and Investment


10:30      Morning tea


WHAT ENERGY INTENSIVE BUSINESSES WANT AND NEED FROM EAST COAST ENERGY MARKETS


11:00      Surviving Australia’s next three energy transitions

  • The importance of energy costs and reliable energy sources to Australian businesses
  • Overview of the next three major transitions in the east coast energy market
  • How to best prepare for and respond to upcoming energy system transitions

Innes Willox, Chief Executive, Ai Group


11:30     The changing face of gas transmission services

  • The changing dynamics in the gas market are driving the requirement for new and innovative gas transmission services
  • What are these changes and what does it mean for customers?
  • Will these changing market dynamics provide the foundations for greater transparency, liquidity and depth in the Australian gas market?

Rob Wheals, Group Executive Transmission, APA Group


12:00      Gas and manufacturing: the next steps

  • Outlining the most critical challenges facing domestic gas stakeholders
  • What are manufacturer’s expectations of gas markets and where are they falling short currently?
  • Are we seeing a short term price shock or a long term price trend?
  • How is industry responding?
  • What are viable solutions to ensure that short term price spikes do not push out long term economically viable industries?

Moderator:
Robert Pritchard
, Executive Director, Energy Policy Institute of Australia
Panellists:
Cheryl Cartwright
, Chief Executive Officer, Australian Pipeline Industry Association
Innes Willox
, Chief Executive Officer, Australian Industry Group
David Byers
, Chief Executive, Australia Petroleum Production & Exploration Association


12:40      Networking lunch


THE EAST COAST ENERGY MIX – DRIVING PROFITABILITY WHILE ELECTRICITY DEMAND FALLS


13:40      Snowy Hydro and the changing NEM

  • Dealing with the $400 million challenge of maintenance
  • The impact of a dry summer on Snowy Hydro’s generation capacity
  • Coping with peak power demand – options for the east coast market

Paul Broad, Chief Executive Officer, Snowy Hydro


14:10     Wind, hydro and increasing engagement between Tasmania and the mainland

  • Can Hydro Tasmania deliver more clean energy into the NEM?
  • Developments in the TasWind project on Kings Island and what it could mean for the NEM
  • Understanding the benefits of a second Bass Link

Gerard Flack, Director of Wholesale Markets, Hydro Tasmania


14:40      Afternoon tea


NEM SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK


15:10      Oversupply in the wholesale market – challenges for generators and policy markers

Matthew Warren, Chief Executive Officer, Energy Supply Association of Australia


15:40      The challenge of forecasting electricity demand

  • Highlighting the key differences between recent forecasting period and historical norms
  • Understanding changing market dynamics and their implications for demand
  • How could falling demand impact broader markets?

Joe Spurio, Group Manager Forecasting and Connections, Australian Energy Market Operator


16:10      PANEL DISCUSSION:
              Key supply and demand trends emerging in the NEM


  • Analysing the likelihood of key supply/demand scenarios unfolding
  • Addressing the key uncertainties in modelling future demand
  • Understanding how changing demand patterns are impacting generation
  • What are the implications for the generation mix?

Moderator:
Robert Pritchard
, Executive Director, Energy Policy Institute of Australia
Panellists:
Michael Riches
, Executive Director Corporate Services and General Counsel, Alinta Energy
Lane Crockett
, Executive General Manager Australia, Pacific Hydro
Kate Farrar
, Managing Director, QEnergy
Simon Camroux
, Manager Wholesale Market Regulation, AGL


16:50      Closing remarks from the chair


17:00      Close of main conference


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