Conference Day Two - Thursday 18 September
8:30 Welcome coffee
8:50 Opening address from the Chair
Robert Pritchard, Executive Director, Energy Policy Institute of Australia
GAS SECURITY FOR EAST COAST DOMESTIC MARKETS – OPPORTUNITIES & THREATS
09:00 The outlook for gas in Eastern Australia – opportunities and challenges
- How changing demand/supply dynamics are impacting domestic markets
- Overviewing the challenges for domestic markets as Queensland LNG trains ramp up
- Identifying opportunities to minimise anticipated supply constraints and price spikes
David Byers, Chief Executive, Australia Petroleum Production & Exploration Association
09:30 Changing dynamics for the eastern Australian gas market as an LNG exporter
- The eastern gas market’s role in the Asia Pacific LNG market
- How is the eastern gas market adjusting to becoming an LNG exporter?
- Challenges for the eastern gas market arising from LNG exports
Wayne Calder, Deputy Executive Director, Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics
10:00 How NSW is responding to its gas price and supply challenges
- Will NSW experience gas ‘load shedding’ mid-decade?
- What impact will additional NSW supply have on the NSW gas market?
- Outlining the key policies that are in place to ensure NSW consumers receive consistent supply
Kylie Hargreaves, Deputy Secretary- Resources and Energy, NSW Department of Trade and Investment
10:30 Morning tea
WHAT ENERGY INTENSIVE BUSINESSES WANT AND NEED FROM EAST COAST ENERGY MARKETS
11:00 Surviving Australia’s next three energy transitions
- The importance of energy costs and reliable energy sources to Australian businesses
- Overview of the next three major transitions in the east coast energy market
- How to best prepare for and respond to upcoming energy system transitions
Innes Willox, Chief Executive, Ai Group
11:30 The changing face of gas transmission services
- The changing dynamics in the gas market are driving the requirement for new and innovative gas transmission services
- What are these changes and what does it mean for customers?
- Will these changing market dynamics provide the foundations for greater transparency, liquidity and depth in the Australian gas market?
Rob Wheals, Group Executive Transmission, APA Group
12:00 Gas and manufacturing: the next steps
- Outlining the most critical challenges facing domestic gas stakeholders
- What are manufacturer’s expectations of gas markets and where are they falling short currently?
- Are we seeing a short term price shock or a long term price trend?
- How is industry responding?
- What are viable solutions to ensure that short term price spikes do not push out long term economically viable industries?
Moderator:
Robert Pritchard, Executive Director, Energy Policy Institute of Australia
Panellists:
Cheryl Cartwright, Chief Executive Officer, Australian Pipeline Industry Association
Innes Willox, Chief Executive Officer, Australian Industry Group
David Byers, Chief Executive, Australia Petroleum Production & Exploration Association
12:40 Networking lunch
THE EAST COAST ENERGY MIX – DRIVING PROFITABILITY WHILE ELECTRICITY DEMAND FALLS
13:40 Snowy Hydro and the changing NEM
- Dealing with the $400 million challenge of maintenance
- The impact of a dry summer on Snowy Hydro’s generation capacity
- Coping with peak power demand – options for the east coast market
Paul Broad, Chief Executive Officer, Snowy Hydro
14:10 Wind, hydro and increasing engagement between Tasmania and the mainland
- Can Hydro Tasmania deliver more clean energy into the NEM?
- Developments in the TasWind project on Kings Island and what it could mean for the NEM
- Understanding the benefits of a second Bass Link
Gerard Flack, Director of Wholesale Markets, Hydro Tasmania
14:40 Afternoon tea
NEM SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK
15:10 Oversupply in the wholesale market – challenges for generators and policy markers
Matthew Warren, Chief Executive Officer, Energy Supply Association of Australia
15:40 The challenge of forecasting electricity demand
- Highlighting the key differences between recent forecasting period and historical norms
- Understanding changing market dynamics and their implications for demand
- How could falling demand impact broader markets?
Joe Spurio, Group Manager Forecasting and Connections, Australian Energy Market Operator
16:10 PANEL DISCUSSION:
Key supply and demand trends emerging in the NEM
- Analysing the likelihood of key supply/demand scenarios unfolding
- Addressing the key uncertainties in modelling future demand
- Understanding how changing demand patterns are impacting generation
- What are the implications for the generation mix?
Moderator:
Robert Pritchard, Executive Director, Energy Policy Institute of Australia
Panellists:
Michael Riches, Executive Director Corporate Services and General Counsel, Alinta Energy
Lane Crockett, Executive General Manager Australia, Pacific Hydro
Kate Farrar, Managing Director, QEnergy
Simon Camroux, Manager Wholesale Market Regulation, AGL
16:50 Closing remarks from the chair
17:00 Close of main conference